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Nombre de programmes trouvés : 140
Conférences

le (10m57s)

Food demand, Productivity Growth and the Spatial Distribution of Land and Water use: A Global Modelling Approach

Nowadays, human society appropriates about one quarter of total net primary production of the terrestrial biosphere. Production of food, energy and materials, and the related use of land and water account for crucial components and interactions in the Earth System. However, rising food, energy and material demand, climate change and ambitious mitigation policies will enhance the competition for land and water. While the combined impacts of these drivers are still highly uncertain, global land-use patterns will change in the future, reacting to these pressures. Projecting their future development is important to study both, their impacts on the Earth System as ...
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Conférences

le (15m0s)

Climate, Geography and Macroeconomics: Revised Data, Refined Analysis and New Findings

Assessments of social and economic impacts of climate change are primarily based on the results of biophysical climate impact models, which are aggregated, extrapolated and/or valued in monetary terms. Another potential source of information on climate impacts are spatial and/or temporal analogues, such as Ricardian analysis of climate impacts on agriculture. Another recent effort to this end involves the development of the G-Econ database (Nordhaus, 2006), which describes the relationship between climatic and geographic factors on the one hand and regional economic productivity on the other. A multivariate regression derived from this database has been used to estimate global economic ...
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Conférences

le (11m43s)

The Largest Lakes and reservoirs of Russia as a Priority Water Ressource for Society

Global change for the last 25 years drives to important changes in hydrometeorological regime in different regions, reflecting water resources change of the larges reservoirs and lakes of Russia and of lakes’ district with more than 460,000 small and middle size lakes (North-western part of Russia and Finland. Interdisciplinary approaches in water resources research include as methods of traditional hydrology and climatology as paleoclimatology and economy. Decrease in the water level of largest Lakes (Ladoga, Onega, Ilmen) by 35-70 cm has been registered over the 1990s, the warmest decade in the time series. At the same time inflow to the ...
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Conférences

le (21m5s)

Conference Opening

The European Science Foundation (ESF) and the French Foundation of the Maison des Sciences de l’Homme (FMSH) (within the Entre-Sciences programme) have agreed to jointly develop a new conference series in environmental sciences; an effort to actively foster exchanges between scientists working in the humanities and social sciences and their colleagues in the life and natural sciences. This interdisciplinary conference present the new advances in the modelling of the Global Change that combines Geosciences and Economics, with a perspective view from history - given the novelty of their interrelations – and from political science – given the impact of the ...
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Conférences

le (24m59s)

The Start and the End of Our Interglacial

The previous interglacial (Marine isotope stage 5e, peaking at 125 kyr BP) is usually assumed to be a good analogue for our present-day climate. Moreover, as our present interglacial, the Holocene, is already almost 12 kyr long, paleoclimatologists were inclined to predict a quite close entrance into the next ice age. Simulations using the 2.5-D climate model of Louvain-la- Neuve show however that our interglacial will most probably last much longer than any previous one, even without human intervention (Berger and Loutre, 2002). It was suggested that this is related to the shape of the Earth’s orbit around the Sun ...
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Conférences

le (28m6s)

Global Climate Change: Past and Future

My presentation will begin with a review of the now-solid evidence for a human influence on the climate of recent decades. Such evidence includes instrumental measurements available for the past two centuries, paleoclimate observations spanning more than a millennium, and comparisons of the predictions from computer models with observed patterns of climate change. I will then address how the study of paleoclimate can inform our assessments of the potential future impacts of human-induced climate change.
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Conférences

le (17m29s)

Long Term Climate Variability: from Past to Future and from Data to Models

Data show that climate has always changed in the past, sometimes with a larger amplitude than what we experimented for two decades. But the main signatures of the anthopogenic forcing are the speed of the change and its globality. Paleodata at different scales are used to test the realism of climate model simulations and then their ability to simulate climates very different from the present one. They are used also to test impact models for water, forest resources. This talk aims to illustrate how paleoclimatology can bring a lot to global change studies, because it privileges interdisciplinary approaches.
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Conférences

le (17m29s)

Comparison of Simulated Tree-Ring Cellulose d180 at the European Scale

In order to investigate factors involved in the inter-annual variability of d180 in tree ring cellulose (d18OTRC), we simulated the d18OTRC from 1960 to 2001 over Europe. We used 1) simulated climate and water isotope fields of REMOiso, a meso-scale circulation model, 2) hypotheses of the distribution of roots and soil hydrology, and 3) a mechanistic model of oxygen-isotopes in tree ring cellulose (d18OTRC). Sensitivity tests show that relative humidity of the air and soil water d18O contribute differently to the d180 in tree ring cellulose according to regional climate. In the commonly observed hydrological situation, humidity of the air ...
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Conférences

le (11m49s)

Holocene Climatic Changes and Their Effect on Morphodynamics and Sedimentation in Campania

High-resolution paleoclimatic studies (e.g. 18O, 13C, CH4, MS, ect) provide 38 detailed reconstructions of the Holocene climatic variability, but they don’t are unable to provide direct informations about the effects of the climatic changes on landscape and human ecosystems. In order to assess the response of the subaerial geomorphologic/pedo-sedimentary systems to the climatic changes and their potential impact on the ancient human communities, detailed stratigraphical investigations in Campania (southern Italy) have been carried out. In addition to indications provided by litho-pedostratigraphical and geomorphological investigations, the study has recurred to historical, archaeological, and palaeobiological data. Some of the main global cyclical ...
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Conférences

le (37m16s)

Debate

The European Science Foundation (ESF) and the French Foundation of the Maison des Sciences de l’Homme (FMSH) (within the Entre-Sciences programme) have agreed to jointly develop a new conference series in environmental sciences; an effort to actively foster exchanges between scientists working in the humanities and social sciences and their colleagues in the life and natural sciences. This interdisciplinary conference present the new advances in the modelling of the Global Change that combines Geosciences and Economics, with a perspective view from history - given the novelty of their interrelations – and from political science – given the impact of the ...
Voir la vidéo

 
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