Conférence
Chapitres
Notice
Lieu de réalisation
IGeSA - Institut de Gestion Sociale des Armées, Porquerolles, France
Langue :
Anglais
Crédits
Richard FILLON (Réalisation), Jirasri DESLIS (Réalisation), FMSH-ESCoM (Production), Hughes Goosse (Intervention)
Conditions d'utilisation
Tous droits réservés.
DOI : 10.60527/269q-1449
Citer cette ressource :
Hughes Goosse. FMSH. (2009, 6 janvier). Modelling Forced and Internal Climate Variability During the Last Millennium , in New Methodologies and Interdisciplinary Approaches in Global Change Research. [Vidéo]. Canal-U. https://doi.org/10.60527/269q-1449. (Consultée le 19 septembre 2024)

Modelling Forced and Internal Climate Variability During the Last Millennium

Réalisation : 6 janvier 2009 - Mise en ligne : 21 janvier 2009
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Descriptif

At hemispheric scale, the surface temperature is strongly influenced by the 28 variations of the natural (solar and volcanic) and anthropogenic (land-use, sulphate aerosols, greenhouse gas concentrations) forcings. By contrast, at regional scale, the internal variability, which is purely due to the internal dynamics of the climate system, can mask the forced response. As a consequence, before the 20th century, cold or warm periods are rarely global, homogenous phenomena. Furthermore, the response to the forcing could be associated with changes in the frequency of some modes of variability. This interplay between the response of the climate system to the various forcings and internal variability makes model-data comparison a complex task for the last millennia. In this framework, simulations in which the model is forced to follow the observations using a data assimilation technique could be very useful. Their goal is to extract the information on the forced and internal variability contained in both the proxy records and model results using a single procedure.

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