Conférence
Notice
Lieu de réalisation
IGeSA - Institut de Gestion Sociale des Armées, Porquerolles, France
Langue :
Anglais
Crédits
Richard FILLON (Réalisation), Jirasri DESLIS (Réalisation), FMSH-ESCoM (Production), Antony Millner (Intervention)
Conditions d'utilisation
Tous droits réservés.
DOI : 10.60527/rm2c-1z88
Citer cette ressource :
Antony Millner. FMSH. (2008, 9 novembre). The Costs of Strategic Adaptation in a Simple Conceptual of Climate Change , in New Methodologies and Interdisciplinary Approaches in Global Change Research. [Vidéo]. Canal-U. https://doi.org/10.60527/rm2c-1z88. (Consultée le 18 juin 2024)

The Costs of Strategic Adaptation in a Simple Conceptual of Climate Change

Réalisation : 9 novembre 2008 - Mise en ligne : 21 janvier 2009
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Descriptif

A simple theoretical model of the process of strategic adaptation to climate change is proposed. Climate change is represented by a non-stationary Markov process on the space of climate states, and strategic adaptation by a simple resource allocation task in which agents incur costs when moving resources from one activity to another. A stationary analysis allows diagnostics that quantify the net costs of climate change, and the long-run benefits to adaptation, to be defined. A full dynamic analysis of the model 74 allows for the computation of the costs of negotiating the transition between two stationary climate regimes. We analyze the dependence of these adaptation costs on the behavioural parameters of the model, and the costs of adjusting resources from one activity to another. We find that adaptation costs have a complex and counterintuitive dependence on adjustment costs, and can be more sensitive to the details of the climate change process than adaptation benefits are. This has important implications for adaptation planning, and understanding the linkages between adaptation and climate change mitigation.

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